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Economics
commentary

Read our reports on consumer and property economics




 

Economics Weekly 12 July 2019


Given the weak domestic growth backdrop and muted inflationary pressures, we expect the SARB to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points next week. Mining production continued to decline in 2019, decreasing by 1.5% y/y in May from a revised contraction of 1.2% in April. May manufacturing production increased by 1% y/y, broadly in line with Bloomberg's consensus of 1.4% y/y


 

Economics Weekly 5 July 2019


It has become increasingly evident that global growth is slowing and we are of the view that a synchronised global slowdown will persist for the remainder of the year. The trade balance registered a surplus of R1.7 billion in May compared to a deficit of R3.5 billion in April. The Absa manufacturing PMI edged up to 46.2 points in June compared to 45.4 in May. New vehicle sales contracted 1.6% y/y in June and the FNB House Price Index (HPI) trended up in June, recording 3.5% y/y from 3.3% in May.


 

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